Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2721.625214 2946.676618 3175.045653 3423.814428 3686.850912 3956.382428 4253.125692
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2342.340372 2674.743598 3025.071081 3420.593636 3853.494057 4311.694305 4832.109344
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2140.951361 2542.172500 2976.803955 3480.126855 4044.403715 4655.007892 5363.142121
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1937.882177 2381.535825 2873.780395 3456.371648 4122.893438 4857.527301 5724.227181
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1829.843724 2315.476149 2865.289605 3527.907680 4298.705717 5161.041889 6192.485535
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1710.838949 2225.762640 2819.930597 3548.165469 4408.354048 5383.851854 6565.204917
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1598.581743 2135.367941 2766.001342 3551.192792 4491.875497 5572.010334 6894.899740
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1444.901555 1984.895869 2631.424907 3449.706565 4444.427971 5601.208460 7034.223440
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1412.286403 1981.692258 2673.222463 3559.210778 4647.891788 5925.768156 7521.984029
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1364.745300 1956.082448 2684.509467 3629.079539 4802.038684 6191.346941 7940.730301
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1289.135698 1889.997325 2641.366989 3628.088976 4866.916719 6348.038672 8228.485782
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1205.642001 1809.139947 2575.475027 3594.805371 4888.744042 6450.246584 8449.016295
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1153.749263 1768.944307 2561.250668 3627.503092 4994.573112 6658.228493 8803.390184
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1090.560118 1710.430942 2520.668734 3624.356469 5054.050289 6808.934352 9088.658106
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1057.860227 1691.917522 2531.287711 3686.510100 5196.010870 7062.270122 9501.819585
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 994.610261 1627.454193 2477.641723 3661.710157 5224.322288 7172.137150 9736.272530
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 972.220858 1619.671090 2499.576105 3736.386781 5381.156871 7444.330756 10174.985468
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 932.364311 1584.664267 2482.563023 3757.530946 5467.304232 7626.753859 10501.545728
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 888.895635 1542.242871 2453.436112 3760.690617 5528.657017 7777.025525 10787.709941
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 812.427904 1447.054866 2346.928666 3654.751616 5442.226962 7734.863139 10826.985999
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 810.440692 1464.326069 2399.879379 3769.058992 5650.977988 8075.728543 11358.536182
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 795.787988 1461.314850 2423.213431 3841.972518 5804.339157 8345.522506 11800.534241
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 759.746333 1423.399883 2394.642297 3840.938894 5856.784416 8483.242767 12072.491860